All posts by The Cool Car Guy

What To Know Before You Swap Out Someone’s Lease

Hey Cool Car Fans,

A few times a year I will get an email or a phone call from someone asking me if they should take over someone else’s lease.  There are websites that offer this service and I’ve done this for some of my clients as well, not through those websites, but directly through the leasing company.  I only would do this when it makes sense.

I figured I would write a quick article about the benefits and disasters that can occur in assuming a lease or using a lease buyout service.

WHEN TAKING OVER SOMEONE’S LEASE MAKES SENSE

First of all, it rarely ever makes sense to take over someone’s lease because you are assuming the remainder of their financial obligation.

However, if you have credit issues and the person’s lease that you’re assuming has stellar credit you could really hit pay dirt.  The problem is that you have to get the leasing company to authorize you to assume their lease, so they are going to require that you have good enough credit and the financial ability to pay back the lease.  There is where the problem lies for most people because if the person who has the original lease obligation has better credit and a better financial situation than the person applying to assume the lease, what is the incentive for the leasing company?

The other time it can make sense is if you want to buy the vehicle at the end of the lease term and the person trying to get out of the lease doesn’t have that many payments left on it.  For example, let’s say that you are interested in buying a 2017 Porsche Macan.  You could take over someone’s lease that they have for $996 a month for 18 months and if the residual to buy it out at the end is $31.141 that could play really well for you.  You’re grabbing a much more expensive vehicle for under $50,000.   I saw this exact opportunity by the way.  Again, you have to see if it makes sense or if you are better off just buying the vehicle as I will discuss next.

WHY TAKING OVER SOMEONE’S LEASE USUALLY DOESN’T MAKE SENSE

As I mentioned before, assuming a lease could make sense if you have credit challenges and you can get a better lease payment than you would get on your own.  However, what if you have better credit than the person who’s lease you are assuming?  They maybe at a 6% effective interest rate and you could be getting a lease on your own at a near 0% effective interest.  The lease is being sold based on a payment, but it in fact might be a really terrible lease that you are assuming.

The residual may also be terrible as well.  If your goal is to give the vehicle back at the end of the lease and you can stay within the remaining miles that could be a good option for you.  What if you go over the miles though and the lease is setup where you have to pay $.25 or $,30 a mile for each mile that you go over?  If you go over by 10,000 miles you could be writing a check at the end of the lease for $2,500 or $3,000 to give the vehicle back.   What if you want to buy it out at the end of the lease term, but the leasing company bet wrong and put too high of a residual for the marketplace?  Then you’re in a situation where the best option is to give it back, so you basically just rented the vehicle with a higher level of risk.

If you have good credit and they have  the vehicle you want with a great residual than instead of assuming the lease, you might be far better off buying out the person’s lease for their remaining payments and the residual value.  You could then finance the vehicle or lease it using a used vehicle lease based on the buyout value.  This could work far better if you have good credit, instead of leasing a vehicle based on someone else’s credit.

 

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Auto Consultant – John Boyd: The Cool Car Guy
John is an auto consultant who owns CoolCarGuy.com that is a licensed car dealership in Lone Tree, CO.  He can help you save time and money on any make or model, new or used, lease or purchase – nationwide! Call or email John about your next vehicle! jboyd@coolcarguy.com or Twitter @coolcarguy

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Mercedes Benz Billion Dollar Electric Vehicle Investment

Hey Cool Car Fans,

It started with Tesla getting millions of people fired up about electric vehicles over the last decade and now Volvo is planning to go all electric in the future with their cars.  Mercedes Benz has announced that they are going to be spending a $1 billion investment into their manufacturing hub in Alabama…

“The investment will go both to an expansion of the German luxury brand’s existing plant near Tuscaloosa and to build a new 1 million-square-foot battery factory.

While electric vehicle sales have been tepid overall, Mercedes has watched as Tesla jumped out has become a formidable player in the super-premium segment with its electric Model S sedan and Model X crossover. Now Tesla is threatening the lower, entry-level part of the luxury market with its lower-priced Model 3 sedan. 

The company is pursuing an “anything Tesla can do, we can do better” strategy,” – USAToday reported.

This is for the production of its all-electric EQ SUV.  Which is going to be the first all-electric SUV from Mercedes Benz and it’s going to be a big deal as more car companies are getting into the electric automobile market.

ARE ELECTRIC VEHICLES REALLY THE FUTURE

The consumer is driving the move toward electric vehicles with the success of Tesla in the marketplace and as people want a choice beyond the combustible engine.  What most people fail to realize is that the electric vehicle is the ultimate in planned obsolescence.  Car companies were accused of this tactic for years back in the 1970’s and 1980’s when vehicles would have parts that would break or wear out and have to be replaced.

A petroleum based engine is designed to run on gasoline or diesel fuel and it can be rebuilt.  When batteries wear out they are finished and have to be replaced and it can be extremely expensive.  Some people argue that this is no different than rebuilding an engine that can also be expensive.

THE COMPUTER AND CELL PHONE LESSONS

The problem is that the batteries that work today probably won’t drive the vehicles of tomorrow.  Car manufacturers are in the business of selling new vehicles and not updating used vehicles to the newest technology.  Nowhere is this more true than in the cell phone and computer market.  Is Apple offering an “upgrade” path for your original iPhone?  What about your 386SX computer from the 1980’s?  They are dead.  If you want to upgrade an old cell phone with the latest technology you have to buy a new cell phone.  It’s not any different with the future of the electric vehicle.  The cost to replace batteries are not going to be less, but they are going to be more.

You can see this with the Toyota Prius, but the difference is that your Prius can also run on gasoline, so it just becomes a heavy Corolla if you don’t replace the batteries.  This is a photo of a 2001 Toyota Prius with about 266,000 miles on it.  The cost for a replacement battery after 16 years is more than you would pay for the entire vehicle.  If you do some research you can pick up a used battery pack for about $1,600.  Proving the reality that EV batteries are not a sustainable long term technology nor will they be supported at a reasonable price.

The challenge for electric vehicles is not the new car market for consumers, but it’s actually the used car market.  Most people are afraid of buying electric vehicles that are five years old and having to replace the batteries in the future.  The lifespan of batteries in electric vehicles today is about ten years, like in a Toyota Prius.  It’s pretty difficult to convince someone to pay top dollar for a used electric vehicle when they are concerned about the battery life and the cost to replace the batteries.  In 2015, Autoblog.com had an article titled “Tesla Roadster battery pack replacement will cost $29,000”.  That’s crazy expensive for another 10 years of battery life in an older vehicle.  You don’t hear too much talk about this though from the media and Wall Street darling do you?

Which brings me back to the fact that Mercedes Benz is  making a billion dollar investment into electric vehicles.  Why wouldn’t they?  The consumer is failing to realize that they are helping to sell the car manufacturers on turning their vehicles into a very expensive appliance, like their cell phones and computers.

In the meantime, for all of those petroleum haters out there, this is a 1970 Nova SS Tribute that I spotted on the Manheim Dealer Auction for around $25,000 plus shipping and dealer profit.  You could get this super cool vehicle that is still worth almost as much as those expensive Tesla batteries after 47 years of driving.  And for only about $10.00 in gasoline drive it down the road without having to update anything.  Best of all, this vehicle should be worth about the same or more in another 47 years where that electric vehicle is destined for the crusher.  Which is why classic petroleum based vehicles are the ultimate in recycling!

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Auto Consultant – John Boyd: The Cool Car Guy
John is an auto consultant who owns CoolCarGuy.com that is a licensed car dealership in Lone Tree, CO.  He can help you save time and money on any make or model, new or used, lease or purchase – nationwide! Call or email John about your next vehicle! jboyd@coolcarguy.com or Twitter @coolcarguy

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Why Do Luxury Cars Cost More Money

Hey Cool Car Fans,

As The Cool Car Guy, I assist people in buying, selling, trading and leasing vehicles on a regular basis.  I work with people from all walks of life, but as you might expect a good portion of my clients drive luxury and high-end vehicles.  I also have clients who drive the no frills “bean can” as well or people who are on a limited budget.  I often am asked by people why they should spend the additional money for an Audi, BMW, Mercedes Benz, etc. than on some of the less expensive vehicles on the market.  Many people think that these vehicles are all created equal, but nothing could be further from the truth.

I decided I should take the time to write an article on why luxury vehicles are more expensive than other brands on the market. Many people assume that it’s all about just selling a vehicle for what the market will bear.  Which is a nice way of saying that they think that all vehicles are the same and therefore they are ripping people off with a brand name.  It’s true that the manufacturer needs to turn a profit, but when you buy a more expensive vehicle you are also getting a product that costs much more to produce.  The components are more expensive to build the vehicle.

I actually run into this even with other people in the car business who don’t like Porsche, Audi or BMW or Mercedes Benz because they are expensive to repair.  It cracks me up because some of these people are Used Car Managers and people who actually sell cars for a living.  It’s as if they have no clue about what it under the hood and like a typical teenager think that just because both cars have a USB port they are the same technology.  They don’t seem to understand that there is a difference in the quality of components being used in the vehicles.  Let me illustrate this fact with just a few components to show the difference in pricing.

LETS LOOK AT THE BRAKES TO START

Brembo brakes are usually found on a vehicle like a Porsche 911 Turbo or a high-end Audi.  You can grab a set of these over at Tire Rack at a discounted price of $1,916 for a kit at the time that I posted this and this particular one fits on a1983 Porsche 911SC Targa.  Those do not include installation time at $150 to $200 an hour at a dealership or even at some of the specialty shops.

Contrast that with a set of rotors for a 2015 Hyundai Elantra GT that you can grab for $122.83 and these are much better than what the manufacturer would put on.  These brakes are not even close to the same in performance or quality which is why they are more 15 to 16 times less money!

ENGINES AND TRANSMISSIONS

Here’s the engine for a 2011 BMW 335xi, which I happen to own and drive as my daily driver here in Colorado.  It’s a 6 cylinder twin turbo engine that produces 300hp.   If you needed to replace this engine it would cost over at CarMonkeys.com close to $11,000 for a used one and that’s a deal.

Contrast that with a 2011 Toyota Camry 3.5l V6 that was their top of the line motor for that year that produced 268hp and it would be about $4,500 for that used engine at CarMonkeys.com.  That’s less than half the price even though they both have six cylinder engines.  Why?  They’re not even close when it comes to performance, components and technology that has gone into the two engines.  It’s not as drastic in price difference compared to the brakes, but it’s 2.5 times the price on the used market for the same six cylinder engine.  Obviously, they are not the same.

As you start to go throughout the vehicles and add up the cost of components like brakes, tires (run flats on the BMW or Mercedes Benz for example), the transmissions, shocks, struts, all-wheel drive systems, sound dampening, the quality of interior, you discover that everything costs more on the luxury vehicle.  You can keep going with this sort of exercise in other aspects of the cars.

If it were truly a case of the manufacturers gaining huge profit off these cars and they were not that expensive to produce than companies like Hyundai would be much more competitive with their new Genesis vehicle.  Instead they have only been able to beat the price of a Lexus by a very small margin in their pricing.  They are focusing on offering a longer warranty as a key buying point.  After all, the cost to surround a person with airbags and have the same quality components to compete with their target market of a Lexus and Acura isn’t any less.

The bottom line is that you get what you pay for when it comes to buying a vehicle.

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Auto Consultant – John Boyd: The Cool Car Guy
John is an auto consultant who owns CoolCarGuy.com that is a licensed car dealership in Lone Tree, CO.  He can help you save time and money on any make or model, new or used, lease or purchase – nationwide! Call or email John about your next vehicle! jboyd@coolcarguy.com or Twitter @coolcarguy

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Why Autonomous Cars Are A Pipe Dream

Hey Cool Car Fans,

Each month there are new articles talking about the benefits of the autonomous car and how Silicon Valley is going to change the automotive industry with cars that drive themselves. They are definitely working on these vehicles and want the world to buy into their fascination of putting everyone into a self-driving taxi cab.   Like this article over at TechCrunch entitled: “Business models will drive the future of autonomous vehicles”.

This is actually a great article on the topic of autonomous vehicles and the challenges facing this new technology.  Including such issues about whether people will buy an autonomous vehicle or just pay for a ride share or who will control the software or if cities will tax them or how they will navigate and not run into a trolley to name a few.

Manufacturers and software giants are all jumping on this bandwagon because they see dollar signs and an amazing future of self-driving vehicles.   Which means it’s going to happen eventually, but does it mean that it’s actually a good idea or that it will be successful?  One article I read was so ridiculous that it said that the car of today would be like the horse of the past.

I for one am not buying into the Wall Street carnival barkers trying to raise the stock prices on these companies investing in this new technology.  It reminds me of when we had video cassette recorders that were going to replace Hollywood.  Remember that amazing technology with the dominating company known as Blockbuster?  You would go and rent a movie and then have to return it or get hit with a huge late fee.  That evolved into BETA that was going to replace VHS and before you knew it we had DVD’s and today we stream Netflix and HBO.  They were all going to replace the movie theater, but the last time I checked Hollywood is still earning billions and people are still going to the movies.  The hype didn’t deliver and most of the previous technology has disappeared because the demand was replaced with something easier and better.

WHY IS THE COOL CAR GUY SKEPTICAL

It’s really simple.  What’s the benefit of “riding” in an autonomous car?  People buy things based on benefits.  Is the benefit that you can get car sick looking at your phone while the vehicle drives you around?  Do your kids like to ride in the backseat of your vehicle today?  Does that car above look like something you want to hop in and have Google drive you around?

An autonomous vehicle simply means that a computer or some programmer in India is driving your vehicle instead of you and you’re just a passenger.  How is this any different than taking a taxi cab today with a real person driving you around, while you get to sit in the front or the back seat?  Seriously.  What’s the additional benefit?  The word autonomous?  Oooh.  It sounds so sexy!  I’m not making this up.  They are all scrambling to create an overpriced and glorified taxi cab.  Michigan is building an $80 million autonomous car testing site according to AutoWeek.  What?  Why?  Do they have an $80 million testing site to train taxi cab drivers?  If someone proposed that the first reaction would be “Are you crazy?”.  Well, that’s what you’re doing morons!

An autonomous car will pick you up and take you where you want to go, like Lyft or Uber, but instead of Lyft or Uber having a driver the vehicle drives itself.  Amazing!  Is it going to get you to your destination faster than an Uber or Lyft driver today?  Will traffic tickets no longer be given since all vehicles go the same speed or are they going to be sent to Google or Uber to pay the fine?  What if it gets in an accident?  Who’s liable at that point for the system failure?  The automobile manufacturer?  The software company?  The “rider”?  Do you have to carry insurance or will it be like when you rent a vehicle from a rental car company?   Will all of these ancillary industries go away, so you no longer can rent a car?  Is the car gong to smell better?  Is it going to cost you less money?  Again, what are the actual benefits?  Is anyone asking this most basic of selling questions?  “I want an autonomous car, so that I can text and drive?”  That seems like the only benefit at this point to me.

And there are actually people who are betting on this and trying to tell investors and the rest of us that in the future autonomous cars will replace all of our current vehicles. Really?  If that is true, couldn’t you just sell your car tomorrow and just take Lyft or Uber wherever you want to go?  Why wait for the autonomous car revolution when you can get a ride from Lyft tomorrow?  I use those services quite often going back and forth to picking up a vehicle, but they haven’t replaced my vehicle.  In some cities people do not own a vehicle and they only take a taxi cab.  I had friends in Chicago years ago who lived downtown and they didn’t own a car.  They took a taxi or a limo everywhere they wanted to go.  That’s the market for autonomous cars.

WHERE ARE HUMMER, SUZUKI, PONTIAC, OLDSMOBILE, SATURN, ETC.

Finally, here is what Google, Uber, Lyft, Tesla and even Ford and the other car manufacturers are apparently forgetting and missing when it comes to selling vehicles.  Hummer was a successful brand for a while, so were Saturn, Suzuki, Oldsmobile and Pontiac.  Don’t forget that Chevrolet and GM needed to be bailed out for their bad decisions in the past and even filed bankruptcy.  Many of these car companies trade hands like a deck of playing cards because the market is saturated from a manufacturing standpoint and the marketplace is extremely fickle.

The automobile industry is crazy at times.  How many vehicles are hot for a period of time and then they stop selling?  And everyone is scrambling to create a self driving car without actually knowing if the market even wants it.

I have yet to have one person tell me that they cannot wait for an autonomous car.  I have had people tell me they are still waiting for a landspeeder!  And you will notice that Luke Skywalker was actually driving the landspeeder in Star Wars and it wasn’t driving itself.
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Auto Consultant – John Boyd: The Cool Car Guy
John is an auto consultant who owns CoolCarGuy.com that is a licensed car dealership in Lone Tree, CO.  He can help you save time and money on any make or model, new or used, lease or purchase – nationwide! Call or email John about your next vehicle! jboyd@coolcarguy.com or Twitter @coolcarguy

How To Make Money With Lyft And Uber

Hey Cool Car Fans,

As The Cool Car Guy, I get contacted by people for every kind of make, model and type of vehicle.  I also end up using Lyft and Uber on a regular basis to get from one place to another.  Usually it is after I drop off a vehicle with a client and I need a ride back.  What I’ve discovered is how many people are putting a ridiculous amount of miles on the wrong vehicles for their “taxi business”.

THE ATTRACTION OF LYFT AND UBER

Let’s face it.  Millions of people need a way to earn additional money and turning a vehicle into a part-time or full-time taxi cab seems like a great idea.  The fact that you can download an app on your phone, call up a Lyft or Uber driver and catch a cheap ride from point A to point B for a minimal charge is pretty amazing.  These companies are earning billions off a service business with very little overhead since their drivers are using their own vehicles for the service.  However, it can be costly for a driver if they don’t know what they are doing.

For example, I recently grabbed a ride from an Uber driver in her 2014 Cadillac SRX.  As I usually do, I looked at the odometer on her vehicle and it was clipping away at over 49,000 miles.  I asked, “Did you lease this vehicle or purchase it?”  She said that she had done a one pay lease.  I said, “How many miles did you purchase?”  She said, “My lease is coming up and I purchased 30,000 miles, so I’m over my miles.”  I said, “By almost 20,000 miles and at $.25 a mile if you give it back, you’re looking at writing about a $5,000 check.  I would get out of this vehicle tomorrow if I were  you.”  She turned in her vehicle and wrote a check.

Some of you may be wondering why I didn’t help her to buy out her lease and the answer to that is that based on her buyout with GM, I knew that she would lose more than $5,000 buying the vehicle.  Fortunately, she had leased it and she had a guaranteed buyer which was General Motors, so she could give the vehicle back to them and write a check.  When they sell it at auction they will be losing more than the $5,000 she gave them for the additional depreciation.  Take that Suzy Orman and Dave Ramsey, who tell people that they should never lease a vehicle!  If she would have financed that vehicle she would have been in way worse shape trying to unload it with 49,000 miles.

HOW TO ACTUALLY DRIVE FOR UBER AND LYFT

I could tell you story after story like the one above because most of the people I know driving for Uber and Lyft are “clueless” about cars, trucks, depreciation, let alone running a taxi service.  I’m not trying to be mean, but many people just join these companies and start driving for money.  I’ve taken rides in expensive Lexus, a Porsche, Toyota Tundra’s, Expeditions, Yukons, the list goes on and on and I just shake my head most of the time.

So how do you actually run an Uber or Lyft taxi business?  First off, as some people are trying to do, you can’t copy the taxi cab companies.  They have a fleet of the same vehicles that they can use as parts when they are through putting a million miles on them.  The average Uber driver has one car that they are trying to make some money driving.  However, what you can do is very simple math.

For example, I have a guy who wants out of a 2007 Range Rover right now that has about 105,000 miles on it and they are good for at least another 50,000 to 100,000 miles, but they can be expensive to repair and maintain.  This vehicle sold new with a $76,535 MSRP and you can buy one used for $10,000 or less with 105,000 miles . That’s massive depreciation!  Let’s assume that you earn $.50 a mile on average driving for Lyft or Uber and your vehicle cost after taxes is about $10,000.  I think you can actually find vehicles for under $10,000 and this math works even better, but you need a decent vehicle that people want to ride in to keep your ratings high.

You can see if a vehicle qualifies at this link: UBER Requirements.

Let’s assume that you’re going to drive 50,000 miles at $.50 a mile on average for your taxi service.  That’s $25,000 that you will earn on a $10,000 vehicle, so you will NET $15,000 minus expenses, like fuel and maintenance.  Now, you have a 2007 Range Rover with 155,000 miles and you throw it on Craigslist or trade out of it and get another inexpensive ride that you can earn another $15,000 on.  A 2005 Range Rover HSE with about 155,000 is trading for about $3,500.  So, you should be able to recover most of your maintenance costs and some of your vehicle cost based on putting 50,000 more miles on a 2007 Range Rover.

You can do the same thing by buying a $10,000 Toyota Corolla, Nissan Versa, VW Jetta or Passat, etc.  If you can get 100,000 miles out of a vehicle at $.50 a mile that’s $50,000 minus the cost of the vehicle, interest, fuel, depreciation, etc.  This is a different model than I’m seeing that most people who I’m grabbing a ride from are using for their business.  I’m sure that there are other models that work as well, but this is an idea of how these Lyft and Uber business ventures can work for people who are looking to drive for these companies.

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Auto Consultant – John Boyd: The Cool Car Guy
John is an auto consultant who owns CoolCarGuy.com that is a licensed car dealership in Lone Tree, CO.  He can help you save time and money on any make or model, new or used, lease or purchase – nationwide! Call or email John about your next vehicle! jboyd@coolcarguy.com or Twitter @coolcarguy

 

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